Is there high chances of securing admission with 289 to study medicine in ATBU [Non-catchment area]?

Kelvinsmart20

2 months ago

Yes, you have a very high chance of securing admission for Medicine at Abubakar Tafawa Balewa University (ATBU) with a score of 289, even as a non-catchment candidate.
​While being a non-catchment (ELPS or Merit) candidate usually means facing a slightly higher cut-off than those from the catchment states (Bauchi, Gombe, Taraba, etc.), a 289 is statistically well above the typical "danger zone" for Medicine at ATBU.
​1. The Cut-off Analysis
​Merit Cut-off: For the 2024/2025 and 2025/2026 sessions, the merit aggregate for Medicine and Surgery at ATBU has historically hovered around 270–285.
​Your Position: At 289, you have already surpassed the likely baseline for merit admission. In most years, a score above 280 is considered a "safe bet" for medicine in North-Eastern federal universities like ATBU.
ATBU’s Admission System
​ATBU uses an online screening process. They typically calculate an aggregate score based on your JAMB and your O'Level grades (WAEC/NECO).
​JAMB (50%): Your 289 is a massive asset here.
​O'Level (Screening): Since ATBU often does not conduct a physical Post-UTME exam for Medicine, they will score your 5 core subjects (English, Maths, Biology, Chemistry, Physics).
​The Goal: Ensure you have at least B2s or A1s in these core subjects. If you have mostly C-grades in your WAEC, it could slightly pull down your 289 advantage.
​3. Why "Non-Catchment" is Less of a Risk for You
​In Nigerian federal universities, admission is split: 45% Merit, 35% Catchment, and 20% ELDS (Educationally Less Developed States).
​With a 289, you are likely to fall into the 45% Merit category.
​Merit slots are open to everyone in Nigeria based strictly on the highest scores. Your score is high enough to compete with anyone, regardless of their state of origin.